{"id":1610,"date":"2020-04-06T15:19:05","date_gmt":"2020-04-06T15:19:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bcisnotes.com\/thirdsemester\/?p=1610"},"modified":"2021-06-16T10:48:59","modified_gmt":"2021-06-16T10:48:59","slug":"interval-estimation-estimation-hypothesis-bcis-notes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bcisnotes.com\/thirdsemester\/business-statistics\/interval-estimation-estimation-hypothesis-bcis-notes\/","title":{"rendered":"Interval Estimation || Estimation &#038; Hypothesis || Bcis Notes"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Interval Estimation<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p>Point estimation is a single value of a parameter. In many cases single point may not be realistic to estimate the parameter then it will be more appropriate to estimate the parameter in an interval that includes the true value of the parameter with a certain degree of confidence. This degree of confidence is always measured in terms of probability. This method of obtaining such an interval is called interval estimation and such interval is known as the confidence interval.<\/p>\n<p>Given a random sample of \u2018n\u2019 independent value x<sub>1<\/sub>, x<sub>2<\/sub>,\u2026 \u2026.x<sub>n<\/sub> of a variable x having the probability density function f(x,\u03b8); \u03b8 being the parameter. We wish to find a and b, the function of x<sub>1<\/sub>, x<sub>2<\/sub>,\u2026 \u2026.x<sub>n<\/sub> such that we assort with a certain degree of confidence (in the probability sense) i.e. P (a \u2264 \u03b8 \u2264 ) = 1 \u2013 \u03b1, where a is lower confidence limit and b is upper confidence limit. 1 \u2013 \u03b1 is called the confidence level or confidence coefficient.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Confidence interval estimate of the population mean from the large sample:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Let \u00b5 be the population means and X\u0305 be the sample mean of the sampling distribution of means. It is also assumed that the sample mean is normal if the sample is large. Then the interval estimate of the population means \u00b5 by the sample mean X\u0305 of the sampling distribution of means is given by the following relation.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Confidence interval = [X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0S.E.(X\u0305)] = [X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0] = [X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0, X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p>Where,<\/p>\n<p>Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>= value of Z at the \u03b1 level of significance<\/p>\n<p>S.E.(X\u0305) = standard error of the sample mean = [if the population is large or infinite and sample are drawn with replacement]<\/p>\n<p>N = population size<\/p>\n<p>n = sample size<\/p>\n<p>\u03c3 = population standard deviation<\/p>\n<p>If \u03c3 is not given we estimate &#8216;\u03c3&#8217; from sample standard deviations &#8216;s&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Note:<\/em> In case of simple random sampling without replacement from a finite population size N, then interval estimate of a population mean \u00b5 is given by<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Confidence interval = [X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0S.E.(X\u0305)] = [X\u0305\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p>The following table gives a common confidence level and their Z values<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"69\">Confidence level (1 \u2013 \u03b1)<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">50%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">68.26%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">90%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">95%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">96%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">98%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">99%<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">99.73%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"69\">Z<sub>\u03b1<\/sub><\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">0.6745<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">1.645<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">1.96<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">2.05<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">2.33<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">2.575<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Note: When no reference to the confidence level is given, then always take Z<sub>\u03b1 = 3<\/sub><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Confidence limits for a population proportion<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Let p be the sample proportion of success and P be the corresponding population proportion then,<\/p>\n<p><em>Confidence interval = [p \u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0S.E.(p)] = [p\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0S.E.(p), p\u00a0Z<sub>\u03b1 <\/sub>\u00a0S.E.(p)]<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Where,<\/p>\n<p>S.E. (p) = if the population is finite or large and samples are drawn with replacement<\/p>\n<p>S.E. (p) =, if P and Q are not given<\/p>\n<p>S.E. (p) =, if the population is finite or large and samples are drawn without replacement<\/p>\n<p>S.E. (p) =, if P and Q are not given<\/p>\n<p>You may also like:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/bcisnotes.com\/thirdsemester\/business-statistics\/estimation-its-characteristics-estimation-hypothesis-bcis-notes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Estimation &amp; its characteristics || Estimation &amp; Hypothesis<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Interval Estimation Point estimation is a single value of a parameter. In many cases single point may not be realistic to estimate the parameter then <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/bcisnotes.com\/thirdsemester\/business-statistics\/interval-estimation-estimation-hypothesis-bcis-notes\/\" title=\"Interval Estimation || Estimation &#038; Hypothesis || Bcis Notes\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1611,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Interval Estimation || Estimation &amp; Hypothesis || Bcis Notes<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This degree of confidence is always measured in terms of probability. 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